Bitcoin's New Trading Zone
Bitcoin starts a new week at comfortable highs above $30,000 as traders square off over BTC price action to come. The cryptocurrency has cemented its new trading zone, with the highest weekly close since early May 2022. Bid support has allowed the market to avoid a deep retracement after last week’s snap 15% gains.
Volatility Catalysts on the Horizon
As Bitcoin heads into the October monthly close, potential volatility catalysts are brewing. The increasing geopolitical instability in the Middle East and the upcoming interest rate adjustments by the United States Federal Reserve are adding to the hurdles for risk assets to overcome.
Bitcoin Fundamentals at All-Time Highs
Under the hood, Bitcoin is looking better than ever. Network fundamentals are either at or circling all-time highs, continuing a trend seen throughout the year. Despite a mass profit-taking event, faith in further upside is proving hard to shake. However, some traders still see the possibility of a $20,000 crash.
Countdown to the End of "Uptober"
Bitcoin continues to consolidate near $34,000 as the week begins. The last weekly close of October was a calm event, but market participants are eager to see if "Uptober" retains its bullish status. Analysts are optimistic about BTC price strength this week, with the relative strength index (RSI) hitting higher highs on weekly timeframes.
A Potential Worst-Case Scenario
Despite holding higher levels, Bitcoin is still not convincing everyone. Some market participants believe that a $20,000 crash is a worst-case scenario. However, others see this as near impossible and expect Bitcoin to continue pushing higher towards the $40,000 mark. Necessary levels need to be held to avoid a rapid unwinding of recent progress.
Geopolitical Instability and Macroeconomic Data
Bitcoin is facing its second major conflict in the past two years as trouble increases in the Middle East. Additionally, the upcoming interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve could form a short-term volatility catalyst. Bitcoin has dismissed Fed rate decisions in the past, but a correction in the S&P 500 could test its recent divergence from stocks.
Bitcoin Network Fundamentals Remain Strong
Bitcoin network fundamentals continue to impress, with difficulty hitting an all-time high and the hash rate circling 493 exahashes per second. Analysts predict that the hash rate will continue to surge, driven by the price pump and miners upgrading their fleets. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has also returned to November 2021 levels, indicating increased greed in the market.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
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