Trump's Trade Deal Dream
Former national security adviser John Bolton has cautioned that Donald Trump's pursuit of the "greatest trade deal in history" with China could have consequences for Taiwan.
Grudge vs. Deal
Bolton believes Trump's animosity towards China, stemming from the origins of the pandemic, could be set aside if the opportunity for a significant trade agreement arises.
Stakes for Taiwan
Bolton expresses concerns that Taiwan's fate might be up for negotiation in the pursuit of a historic trade deal, with Trump possibly willing to make concessions to China.
Past Trade Wars
Trump's first term was marked by a trade war with Beijing, including tariffs imposed on Chinese imports. Bolton questions whether history will repeat itself in Trump's second term.
Legacy Concerns
Bolton suggests that Trump's desire to secure a major trade deal with China could be driven by concerns about his legacy, even as a lame duck president.
US-Taiwan Relations
Recent comments from Trump and Biden regarding Taiwan's defense spending and semiconductor industry have raised concerns about the future of US-Taiwan relations.
Geopolitical Dynamics
Experts warn that Taiwan's role in semiconductor production and the US-China tensions could impact global supply chains and geopolitical stability.
Ambiguity in Policy
While the US and Taiwan are allies, the Biden administration has emphasized a stance of non-support for Taiwanese independence, while some Republicans push for a more assertive approach.